Fundamental Analysis


Published on 2017-09-22 16:07 Share
fundamental news

The week ahead has many a fundamental news release to look forward to, events which are sure to have traders licking their lips at the implied volatility and the numerous trading opportunities they create. Let us take a look at our top 3 picks:

1. Sunday sees Germany going to the polls where Voters will elect members to the German Federal Parliament which in turn will have to elect a Chancellor with an absolute majority of its members and form a new government. Polling stations open on Sunday morning and close at 6:00 p.m. local time and exit polls will follow. Although the first projections of the election outcome will come on Sunday evening, a definitive final election result could take until Tuesday.

2. Wednesday sees the release of the Core Durable Goods Orders m/m figure out of the USA. The figure represents the change in the total value of new purchase orders placed with manufacturers for durable goods, excluding transportation items, and is regarded as a leading indicator of production as an increase in orders will result in an increase in production, signalling a strengthening economy. Thus, a better than expected release could see the USD strengthen as trades price in the potential for an improved economy while a worse than expected release could see the USD weaken as trades prepare for a potential dip in the US economy.

3. Also on Wednesday, in New Zealand the central bank will be releasing their Rate Statement and Monetary Policy Statement. The Cash rate is expected to remain unchanged at 1.75%, which has already been priced in. Any surprises could result in severe volatility with the NZ dollar most likely to strengthen in the event of a rate hike and vice versa in the case of a rate cut. Investors will be glued to the screen to try and decipher the Statement for clues as to the current and future views and actions of the RBNZD, with positive comments likely to see the NZD gain strength while negative comments is likely to see the NZD sold off.

The above are just the tip of the iceberg of the daily events which occur in markets, for daily technical and fundamental analysis please visit:

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